Anyone betting against Russia in this war is likely in for a rude awakening. Yes, the economy compared to large economies in the EU and US gives the West a sense that Ukraine with the help of billions of dollars from the US and the West will inevitably lead to Russia’s defeat. However, given the foolish move to depend on Russia for natural gas, Germany and much of Europe will freeze – thousands will die. Because of the Climate Agenda, with oil $100 a barrel – Russia’s one trick pony economy is prospering – sanctions are doing nothing – especially as China and the East buys Russian oil. The ruble has been its strongest since the invasion. Will it take years to defeat Ukraine and bring it back into the Russian fold. Maybe. But I don’t see Russia – Putin giving up Ukraine. Russia historically has used its soldiers as cannon fodder. In WWII the US lost about 400 thousand men. Russia lost over 20 million. D-day is glorified by the US as a historic game changing battle, but it was the Russian sacrifice on the Eastern front that actually destroyed the German army in WWII. Perhaps this war lasts for years and Ukraine may end up looking like one giant bombed out parking lot suitable for only cockroaches and Russian peasants – but if that’s what it takes to keep Ukraine from joining the EU – that’s likely to happen. In the 1930s Stalin starved millions of Ukrainians to death for their failure to collectivize farms. Mini me Stalin will do whatever it takes.
